Reuben or Clay?

Okay, don't tell anyone, but I'm watching American Idol. My money is on Clay. Not because I like him as the winner (well, I do) but because in early returns, they've announced that Clay has taken North Carolina and New York State - while Reuben has taken Alabama and Florida. With only 3% (give or take) separating the winner from the loser, we have to make a good guess. Well, based on the populations of these four states assuming a roughly equal distribution of voter turnout, it would look like Clay came out ahead...that and the fact that he's not getting any real camera time would lead me to believe that the producers are setting him up for the win...we'll see. I've got a 50/50 chance of being right/wrong :)