Sociotechnical problems to come?

Sociotechnical problems to come

"Next year is going to be a very bad year for the Net, and every weblogger, no matter who you're hosted with, had better be ready to have your site down an average of 2-4 days every month. Yes, days."

I doubt it - there's no explanation thats even remotely tenable enough to support Shelley's prediction of 24 to 48 days of downtime per blog next year.
According to this article, "public sector websites have the worst availability and download times compared to all other industry sectors with a mean availability of 98.7%". This equates to mean downtime of 5% per website per year. Shelley's prediction is that things are going to get five to ten times worse *real quick*.
I don't buy it solely based on Rader's First Law of Statistical Analysis - "A prediction with an outcome that contemplates an order of magnitude increase over current state must be accompanied by some damn good evidence supporting the prediction."
Is it even remotely possible that the internet is going to get as bad as Shelley predicts as quickly as she predicts?