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Random Bytes, 2003–2009

Let's Make a Bubble

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I'm reading through some old stories in my aggregator tonight getting caught up, and in reading a story back from March 2005 that discussed the rise of chinese brands and business, this quote caught my attention.

Lenovo Group, China’s leading PC vendor, agreed to pay about $1.8 billion in cash and equity for IBM’s PC business. Overnight, Lenovo became the world’s third-largest personal computing company, with a worldwide market share of about 8%. (The leader, Dell, has about 18%.)

- via Fusionbrand

In December 2004, Lenovo's valuation (how much their company is worth) was approximately $3 billion.

As of today, its almost $3.25 billion.

Almost two years later, the overall value of the company has only grown around 6%. Lenovo could have put their money in a savings accounts and created more value for their shareholders.

When the deal went down, all Lenovo and IBM talked about was the synergies the deal would create, about buying a big established brand, the value of key technical assets, the upside associated with their intensely loyal customers.

A lot of this this sounds a lot like the reasons being floated by Google about why they bought YouTube.

I'm not sure I'm buying it anymore than Lenovo's shareholders are.

Not a bubble?

See this post as it first appeared on Blogware.